Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000923 0.001058 0.001195 0.001344 0.001501 0.001660 0.001835
2025-04-20 0.000621 0.000817 0.001028 0.001268 0.001530 0.001806 0.002117
2025-04-27 0.000389 0.000619 0.000885 0.001203 0.001565 0.001957 0.002409
2025-05-04 0.000258 0.000515 0.000833 0.001233 0.001702 0.002223 0.002833
2025-05-11 0.000137 0.000391 0.000742 0.001207 0.001773 0.002414 0.003179
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000256 0.000612 0.001119 0.001761 0.002508 0.003414
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000170 0.000529 0.001079 0.001801 0.002658 0.003713
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000101 0.000449 0.001033 0.001827 0.002790 0.003989
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000059 0.000399 0.001019 0.001890 0.002963 0.004312
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000040 0.000388 0.001062 0.002026 0.003225 0.004740
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000017 0.000346 0.001050 0.002087 0.003393 0.005057
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000004 0.000312 0.001045 0.002154 0.003567 0.005378
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001061 0.002262 0.003810 0.005806
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000231 0.001020 0.002293 0.003959 0.006128
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000183 0.000981 0.002325 0.004112 0.006456
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000175 0.001023 0.002477 0.004420 0.006979
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000144 0.001010 0.002545 0.004622 0.007372
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000095 0.000937 0.002517 0.004695 0.007606
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000067 0.000905 0.002550 0.004848 0.007938
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000042 0.000866 0.002569 0.004979 0.008241
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000028 0.000856 0.002631 0.005168 0.008617
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000027 0.000898 0.002779 0.005473 0.009139
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000017 0.000889 0.002842 0.005661 0.009512